Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annecy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annecy 1-2 Dijon
Original prediction
Annecy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.8% | 45.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 26.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.7% | 27.8% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Annecy
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Annecy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnnecyLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DijonWDLDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AnnecyDijon
44.4Attack44.4
61.1Defence50.0
55.6Form33.3
55.9Power45.6
1.45xG0.99