Annan Athleticvs
Stranraer
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stranraer · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Annan Athletic 0-1 Stranraer, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Annan Athletic 1-6 Stranraer
Original prediction
Stranraer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.8% | 28.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 28.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.8% | 42.7% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Annan Athletic 0–1 Stranraer
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Stranraer
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Stranraer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Annan AthleticLWDLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
StranraerDWLWW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Annan AthleticStranraer
33.3Attack63.0
59.3Defence70.4
33.3Form63.0
43.7Power64.9
0.67xG1.50