GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Annan Athletic are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Stranraer are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Annan Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Annan Athletic

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Annan AthleticLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
StranraerDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Annan AthleticStranraer
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.92xG1.55
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