Annan Athleticvs
Stirling Albion
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annan Athletic 0-1 Stirling Albion
Original prediction
Annan Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 07:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.8% | 47.3% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.6% | 26.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.5% | 25.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Annan Athletic
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00