Annan Athleticvs
Elgin City
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annan Athletic 2-0 Elgin City
Original prediction
Elgin City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.1% | 30.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 27.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.1% | 42.5% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00