GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Annan Athletic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Edinburgh City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Annan Athletic hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the League One, while Annan Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Annan Athletic

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Annan AthleticLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Edinburgh CityLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Annan AthleticEdinburgh City
50.9Attack35.2
37.0Defence9.3
36.1Form13.0
43.3Power23.1
2.76xG1.15
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