Annan Athleticvs
Dumbarton
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annan Athletic 2-0 Dumbarton
Original prediction
Annan Athletic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.9% | 44.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 26.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.3% | 28.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Annan Athletic
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20