Annagh Unitedvs
Limavady United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · League Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annagh United 3-4 Limavady United
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.0% | 38.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.0% | 26.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.9% | 35.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40