Annagh Unitedvs
Institute
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annagh United 5-0 Institute
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.2% | 48.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00