Annagh Unitedvs
H&W Welders
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
H&W Welders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annagh United 3-1 H&W Welders
Original prediction
H&W Welders
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.2% | 36.5% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 26.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.1% | 37.4% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
H&W Welders
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
H&W Welders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00