Annagh Unitedvs
Glenavon FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annagh United 1-1 Glenavon FC
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 39.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.6% | 34.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00