Annagh Unitedvs
Ards
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annagh United 2-1 Ards
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 54.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 23.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.5% | 21.9% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60