Şanlıurfasporvs
Hatayspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Şanlıurfaspor 4-2 Hatayspor
Original prediction
Şanlıurfaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 68.3% | 54.6% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.5% | 24.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 8.30 | 11.2% | 21.1% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Şanlıurfaspor
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40