Şanlıurfasporvs
Güzide Gebzespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 Güzide Gebzespor
Original prediction
Şanlıurfaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.2% | 36.8% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 28.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.1% | 35.1% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Şanlıurfaspor
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00