Şanlıurfasporvs
Gölcükspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 Gölcükspor
Original prediction
Şanlıurfaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 69.4% | 42.7% | -26.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 16.9% | 24.8% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 6.50 | 13.7% | 32.6% | 18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Şanlıurfaspor
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20