GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 Ankaraspor

Original prediction

Şanlıurfaspor

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.0%49.2%-5.8 pts
Draw3.6324.9%26.3%1.4 pts
Away4.5020.1%24.5%4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Şanlıurfaspor

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŞanlıurfasporDLWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AnkarasporLWDLL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ŞanlıurfasporAnkaraspor
56.1Attack41.4
60.5Defence64.9
57.9Form52.3
59.3Power54.9
1.29xG0.89
View match centre →