Şanlıurfasporvs
Adana Demirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Original prediction
Şanlıurfaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.6% | 52.4% | -24.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.79 | 15.6% | 23.8% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 11.56 | 7.8% | 23.7% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Şanlıurfaspor
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00