Ankarasporvs
Somaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaraspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaraspor 0-1 Somaspor
Original prediction
Ankaraspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.1% | 38.4% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 25.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.7% | 36.0% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ankaraspor
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Ankaraspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00