Ankarasporvs
Kastamonuspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaraspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaraspor 5-1 Kastamonuspor
Original prediction
Ankaraspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.7% | 44.7% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 27.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.7% | 27.7% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Ankaraspor
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Ankaraspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60