Ankarasporvs
Erbaaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaraspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaraspor 2-1 Erbaaspor
Original prediction
Ankaraspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 38.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 27.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 34.6% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ankaraspor
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Ankaraspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60