Ankaragücüvs
Serik Spor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaragücü · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaragücü 1-1 Serik Spor
Original prediction
Ankaragücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.7% | 38.7% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.2% | 33.9% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ankaragücü
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Ankaragücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60