Ankaragücüvs
İnegölspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaragücü · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaragücü 4-1 İnegölspor
Original prediction
Ankaragücü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.0% | 47.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 26.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.3% | 25.5% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Ankaragücü
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Ankaragücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60