Ankaragücüvs
Ankara Demirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaragücü · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaragücü 0-1 Ankara Demirspor
Original prediction
Ankaragücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 52.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 25.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.3% | 21.4% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Ankaragücü
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Ankaragücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40