Ankaragücüvs
1461 Trabzon FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaragücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankaragücü 2-2 1461 Trabzon FK
Original prediction
Ankaragücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.4% | 43.2% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.2% | 26.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.3% | 30.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Ankaragücü
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Ankaragücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40