Ankara Demirsporvs
Kütahyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankara Demirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankara Demirspor 5-1 Kütahyaspor
Original prediction
Ankara Demirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.7% | 45.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 27.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.5% | 27.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ankara Demirspor
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Ankara Demirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00