Ankara Demirsporvs
İskenderunspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankara Demirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankara Demirspor 7-0 İskenderunspor
Original prediction
Ankara Demirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.5% | 61.7% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.81 | 18.7% | 20.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 8.41 | 10.7% | 17.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Ankara Demirspor
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Ankara Demirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60