Ankara Demirsporvs
Fethiyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankara Demirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ankara Demirspor 3-1 Fethiyespor
Original prediction
Ankara Demirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.4% | 45.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.1% | 27.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.4% | 27.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ankara Demirspor
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Ankara Demirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80