Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Angoulême are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bergerac are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergerac hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the National 2 - Group B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00