Angersvs
Estac Troyes
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 9/19/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Angers 2-0 Estac Troyes
Original prediction
Angers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 45.1% | 46.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.6% | 26.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 27.3% | 27.1% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Angers
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Angers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AngersDLWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estac TroyesLLWDD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AngersEstac Troyes
33.3Attack33.3
58.3Defence25.0
33.3Form33.3
43.3Power34.1
1.66xG1.05