Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Angers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Annecy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Angers hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Ligue 2, while Angers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Angers
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Angers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60