GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Angelholms FF 3-0 Rosengård

Original prediction

Rosengård

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.4620.3%24.8%4.5 pts
Draw3.9922.7%25.7%3.0 pts
Away1.5857.0%49.5%-7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–210%

Predicted outcome

Rosengård

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Angelholms FFLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RosengårdWDLLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Angelholms FFRosengård
25.0Attack33.3
8.3Defence83.3
8.3Form66.7
19.2Power64.8
1.00xG1.75
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