GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/3/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Angel City W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Angel City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the NWSL Women, while Angel City W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Angel City W

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Angel City WLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Utah Royals WWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Angel City WUtah Royals W
51.0Attack58.3
62.7Defence61.7
47.1Form60.0
54.3Power60.9
1.23xG1.22
View match centre →