GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/16/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Angel City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Angel City W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Angel City W hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the NWSL Women, while Angel City W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Angel City W

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Angel City WWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Racing Louisville WDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Angel City WRacing Louisville W
51.0Attack44.4
62.7Defence35.2
47.1Form31.5
54.3Power39.2
2.21xG0.87
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