GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Angel City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Angel City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 54.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the NWSL Women, while Angel City W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Angel City W

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

13.0%

Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Angel City WLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Portland Thorns WDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Angel City WPortland Thorns W
51.0Attack56.1
62.7Defence50.9
47.1Form54.4
54.3Power54.6
1.60xG1.15
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