Angel City Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/25/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angel City W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Angel City W 2-0 Bay FC W
Original prediction
Angel City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.7% | 66.3% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 19.7% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 14.0% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Angel City W
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40