Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angby · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Angby 4-0 Helges, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Angby 9-0 Helges
Original prediction
Angby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.4% | 80.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.67 | 13.6% | 11.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 9.14 | 10.0% | 8.5% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Angby 4–0 Helges
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Angby
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
Angby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AngbyWLWWD
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HelgesLLLDD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AngbyHelges
71.0Attack29.0
60.9Defence17.4
69.6Form14.5
67.4Power23.4
4.40xG0.57