Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Angby 5-1 Franke
Original prediction
Angby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.5% | 65.5% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 18.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.1% | 16.5% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Angby
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Angby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AngbyWDWDW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FrankeWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AngbyFranke
66.7Attack55.0
63.3Defence46.7
70.0Form41.7
67.2Power48.3
2.49xG1.07