Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Angby are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Angby hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Angby holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Angby
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
14.0%
Angby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40