GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/10/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Andratx · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Andratx are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Penya Independent are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Andratx hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Andratx holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Andratx

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Andratx has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AndratxDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Penya IndependentLLLL

GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
AndratxPenya Independent
39.2Attack31.4
53.9Defence49.0
43.1Form33.3
47.8Power40.4
1.31xG0.77
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