Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Andranik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Andranik 2-1 Mika
Original prediction
Andranik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.0% | 64.4% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.35 | 14.2% | 19.0% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 10.20 | 8.8% | 16.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Andranik
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Andranik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AndranikWLWWD
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MikaWLDDD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AndranikMika
83.3Attack57.1
66.7Defence47.6
66.7Form52.4
69.4Power54.7
2.79xG1.12