GGOALVIO

World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moldova U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Andorra U21 0-1 Moldova U21, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Andorra U21 0-0 Moldova U21

Original prediction

Moldova U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4337.5%22.2%-15.3 pts
Draw3.1229.1%26.3%-2.9 pts
Away2.7233.4%51.6%18.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

18.2 pts

Projected Score

Andorra U21 0–1 Moldova U21

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Moldova U21

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Moldova U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Andorra U21DWLWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Moldova U21WWLDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Andorra U21Moldova U21
3.3Attack23.3
6.7Defence60.0
0.0Form40.0
9.3Power42.5
0.66xG1.43
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