Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Andijan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Andijan 0-1 Qizilqum
Original prediction
Andijan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.3% | 45.5% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 28.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.6% | 25.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Andijan
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Andijan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AndijanLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
QizilqumDWLWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AndijanQizilqum
42.0Attack33.3
55.1Defence56.5
43.5Form43.5
47.8Power46.1
1.18xG0.81