Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Andijan 0-0 Nasaf, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Andijan 1-4 Nasaf
Original prediction
Nasaf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 31.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 29.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.9% | 39.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Andijan 0–0 Nasaf
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AndijanDWLWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NasafDWWLL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AndijanNasaf
41.3Attack46.0
61.9Defence68.3
47.6Form49.2
51.1Power55.5
0.83xG0.97