Anderlecht Wvs
OH Leuven W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anderlecht W 3-1 OH Leuven W
Original prediction
Anderlecht W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 11:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 42.7% | 39.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 26.9% | 28.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht W
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Anderlecht W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20