Anderlecht Wvs
Genk W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 9/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 5-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anderlecht W 4-0 Genk W
Original prediction
Anderlecht W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.0% | 61.9% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.39 | 12.2% | 20.3% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 13.34 | 6.8% | 17.8% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.5–09%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht W
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Anderlecht W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40