GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/24/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsWWDWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AnderlechtLudogorets
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence41.7
83.3Form50.0
75.3Power51.9
2.03xG1.21
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