Anderlechtvs
Kortrijk
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anderlecht 1-0 Kortrijk
Original prediction
Anderlecht
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.2% | 51.4% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.9% | 24.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 14.0% | 24.1% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40