GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Anderlecht are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

11.7%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyLLWWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AnderlechtKairat Almaty
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
83.3Form50.0
75.3Power50.0
1.88xG1.05
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