Anderlechtvs
Kairat Almaty
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty
Original prediction
Anderlecht
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 69.3% | 58.6% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 19.1% | 22.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 8.08 | 11.6% | 18.7% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20