Anderlechtvs
Genk
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anderlecht 0-0 Genk
Original prediction
Genk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 40.5% | 35.3% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.5% | 25.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 33.0% | 38.8% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnderlechtWLWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
GenkWDWLW
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AnderlechtGenk
25.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
47.5Power62.9
1.42xG1.65