GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

34.1%

Model confidence

34.1%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtDLDDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferencvarosi TCWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AnderlechtFerencvarosi TC
66.7Attack61.1
66.7Defence72.2
83.3Form77.8
75.3Power72.4
1.31xG1.30
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